The number of Ebola infections in West Africa continues to
increase at an alarming rate (link).
As the official international public health agency, the
World Health Organization (WHO) is tasked with tracking and reporting on
infectious diseases around the world. As of October 14, 2014 the WHO has reported more than 8900 Ebola
cases from the three West Africa nations of Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone,
where the Ebola outbreak has not yet been contained (link).
Below is a chart showing the continued rising number of new
cases by week number in these three countries.
The data in the chart is based on official WHO data through October 12,
2014 (link). A quote from Dr. Bruce Aylward, a WHO spokesperson, indicates that by mid December 2014 between 5,000 to 10,000 new weekly Ebola cases could
reported in the three West African countries (link).
The next graph below shows the temporal progression of the increases in new cases with a trend
line projecting news cases into the coming weeks. The exponential trend line from the current
WHO data projects 5,000 to 10,000 new weekly cases of Ebola in West Africa by December 2014. This is the basis of Aylward's comments yesterday.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.