Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Recent MERS-CoV Sequences from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia



At Epidemic - Molecular Epidemiology and Evolution of Viral Pathogens, Andrew Rambaut has compiled a list of 21 recently reported sequences of the Middle East Respiratory Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA).[1]

Lacking age and sex, and only having the collection date makes it difficult to correlate the sequence samples with previous, individually identified cases in the KSA. For provinces and cities in KSA that have only a few reported MERS-CoV cases, correlation of the sequences with individual cases is straight forward as the sample name is a clue to the geographic location. 

For several of the recently released sequences, case information is provided below. 

Bisha_1_2012 is likely from the 60-year-old-male from the town of Bisha in Asir Province. He experienced onset on June 6, 2012, was hospitalized on June 13, 2012 and died on June 24, 2012. He is not reported as part of any cluster of cases. 

Riyadh_1_2012 is likely from a retired 70-year-old male from Riyadh who is reported to have experienced onset on October 5, 2012, was hospitalized on October, 13, 2012 and died on October 23, 2012. He is one of two individuals reported as a family cluster (see Riyadh_2_2012 below).

Riyadh_2_2012 is likely from a 39-year-old male factory worker from Riyadh who is reported to have experienced onset on October 24, 2012, was hospitalized on October 28, 2013 and died on November 2, 2012. He is possibly the son of the individual who represents sample Riyadh_1_2012.

Riyadh_3_2013 seems to be a sample collected in February of 2013 from one of three brothers from Riyadh who were infected with MERS-CoV. All three brothers lived in one large house with 10 other adults. The 51-year-old male was being treated in a Riyadh hospital when he apparently experienced onset from MERS-CoV on February 13, 2013.  He died on February 24, 2013. This cluster of 3 cases is reported in the September issue of the International Journal of Infectious Diseases.[2] Apparently only two household members, two  brothers of the index case, were infected, a 39- year-old and a 40-year-old.  The 39-year-old died on March 2, and the other individual recovered. 

WHO confirmed the 39-year-old in an update published on March 12, 2013.  The 40-year-old was reported by WHO on March 23, 2013 as a recovered individual who had contact with a previous case (his brother[s]).  The 51-year-old male was not reported by WHO until August 28, 2013.  WHO did not identify these three cases as a family cluster. 

Buraidah_1_2013 may possibly be from a 63-year-old male from the city of Buraydah in Al-Qassim Province.  The collection date for this sample is May 13, 2013, however, the man is reported to have been hospitalized on May 15, 2013 and died on May 20, 2013. He is not reported as part of a cluster of cases and no other MERS-CoV cases have been officially reported from Al-Qassim Province in May 2013.   If there are no reporting errors in the collection date or the dates of hospitalization and death, then there is one additional unconfirmed, unaccounted case from Al-Qassim Province. 

Hafr Al-Batin_1_2013 is likely from a 21-year-old male from the town of Hafar Al-Batin, in the Eastern Province. This case was reported in June 2013. He is not reported as part of a cluster of cases.

Al-Hasa Sequences

A large outbreak of MERS-CoV cases occurred in April and May 2013 in the Eastern Province of KSA. [3] At least 24 individuals were confirmed cases and about half of them died. Most of infections occurred in nosocomial settings in the city of Al-Hofuf (also referred as Al-Hasa), although some cases were reported from a regional hospital more than 160 km away. 

Without more details about the sequences it is not possible to associate any Al-Hasa sequence with any specific individual from this outbreak. However, the reported collection dates for the Al-Hasa samples all fall after May 2, 2013. So it is unlikely that any of these sequences are from the 5-6 individuals in the cluster who died before May 2, 2013. 

It is not clear how representative these sequences are for the range of MERS-CoV infections in the KSA. 



Wednesday, September 11, 2013

MERS-CoV Outbreak Map – September 11, 2013



The eight countries reporting Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) cases through September 11, 2013 are color coded by frequency of reported cases in the map below.  The numbers presented for all countries, with the exception of Saudi Arabia,  are presumed to be accurate.  The count from Saudi Arabia is uncertain due to poor case reporting from the Saudi Arabia Ministry of Health.  The local cluster outbreaks in the countries of France, Italy, Tunisia, and the United Kingdom are a result of the human-to-human infection. In each of these country clusters, the index case had recently returned from a trip to the Middle East. 

  World map of MERS--CoV cases as of September 11, 2013.



It Is Not Too Soon to Develop a MERS Vaccine



Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) is spreading throughout Saudi Arabia. The first known human infections of MERS-CoV occurred in 2012 in Jordan in a hospital setting.[1] Since then, more than 130+ suspected and confirmed cases have been recorded from eight countries in Europe, Africa, and the Middle East. More than 100 cases (about 80% of all cases) have occurred in Saudi Arabia.  More concerning is that the number of cases is increasing rapidly in Saudi Arabia. In the last two weeks the Saudi Arabia Ministry of Health has reported about 25 new cases.[2]

Most of these new cases in Saudi Arabia appear to have been infected by human-to-human contact. It is time for public health officials to be proactive and support plans for developing a MERS-CoV vaccine. Spanish researchers have taken the first step and report that they are working towards developing a MERS-CoV candidate vaccine.[3] More MERS-CoV vaccine research is needed immediately, just in case.




h/t Giuseppe Michieli

Monday, September 9, 2013

Additional Details on the MERS-CoV Family Cluster from Hafar Al-Batin, Saudi Arabia



A family cluster of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) has been reported from Hafar Al-Batin in northern Saudi Arabia. Five these individuals have been reported to World Health Organization (WHO) by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Ministry of Health (MOH). There is uncertainty surrounding the family relationships among these infected individuals however Arabic media reports (noted below) allow a tentative construction of the kinship relations among these cases as depicted below. According to the reconstruction, 3 generations in this family have been infected with the disease.

Besides this family cluster, the Saudi MOH is reporting four other MERS-CoV cases from Hafar Al-Batin that may be associated with this family cluster. Three of the other four cases as noted below are reported to have had contact with MERS-CoV infected individuals. 


Family relationships of this cluster are reported at FluTrackers.

The five cases reported by WHO (age sex, status)

38 M, died, onset August 8, 2013, died August 17, 2013

79 F, August 21, 2013, died September 2, 2013

47 M, onset August 23, 2013, in ICU

16 M, asymptomatic

7 F, asymptomatic

Additional MERS-CoV cases from Hafar Al-Batin from Saudi Arabia MOH reports (age, sex, status)

74 F,  in ICU

74 F, died, contact with other cases

18 ?, asymptomatic, contact with other cases

3 F, asymptomatic, contact with other cases
link: http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=508937&postcount=1